Jamie Mullarkey vs Nasrat Haqparast
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
74"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Bangtao Muay Thai & MMATeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Nasrat Haqparast is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jamie Mullarkey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1646
If they lose-9→ 1622
If they win+9→ 1722
If they lose-15→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jamie MullarkeyNasrat Haqparast
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nasrat Haqparast77%
Jamie Mullarkey 23%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Nasrat Haqparast a 77% favorite over Jamie Mullarkey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Nasrat Haqparast holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1631, a 82-point edge.
Nasrat Haqparast enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jamie Mullarkey finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.
Jamie Mullarkey and Nasrat Haqparast share 2 common opponents: Quillan Salkilld and John Makdessi.
Jamie Mullarkey carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.