Jared Gordon vs Jim Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-9-0Record39-19-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
68"Reach71"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamSussex County MMA
What's at stake
Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jared Gordon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1689
If they lose-10→ 1665
If they win+10→ 1730
If they lose-14→ 1706
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1702 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jared GordonJim Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Gordon51%
Jim Miller 49%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gordon a 51% favorite over Jim Miller in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jim Miller's way (44%).
Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1675, a 45-point edge.
Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jared Gordon finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.
Jim Miller carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.