Jarred Brooks vs Tatsumitsu Wada
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Jarred Brooks73%
Tatsumitsu Wada 27%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Jarred Brooks a 73% favorite over Tatsumitsu Wada in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Jarred Brooks holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1700 to 1645, a 55-point edge.
Jarred Brooks enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jarred Brooks finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Tatsumitsu Wada 38%.
Tatsumitsu Wada carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
21-6-0Record26-14-2
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'7"
62"Reach69.3"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Mash Fight TeamTeamFreelance· 1571 avg Elo · 12 rated
What's at stake
Jarred Brooks is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tatsumitsu Wada carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1710
If they lose-14→ 1686
If they win+14→ 1659
If they lose-10→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jarred BrooksTatsumitsu Wada