Jason Polydor vs Karl Willis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-6-0Record0-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
Le Temple BordeauxTeamFreelance· 1552 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Jason Polydor is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Karl Willis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1447
If they lose-26→ 1399
If they win+26→ 1418
If they lose-22→ 1370
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jason PolydorKarl Willis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Polydor53%
Karl Willis 47%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Polydor a 53% favorite over Karl Willis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Jason Polydor holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1425 to 1392, a 33-point edge.
Jason Polydor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Karl Willis enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.