UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan

Main eventBrendan Allen def. Christian Leroy Duncanby Submission · 11 results recordedFull result →

DateSaturday, October 10, 2026Start 8:00 PM EDT

VenueMeta APEXLas Vegas, United States

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+How to watch

Join the discussion Predictions & odds Official UFC event

Fight resultsComplete12 of 12 outcomes recordedView resultsHide results

Results appear as they are recorded; confirmation may be delayed. Each result shows what it does to both ratings: projected at first, then the published change once the rankings have counted the bout.

Latest result observation: 10/11/2026, 8:20:39 AM EDT. Observation times may follow the bout.

Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy DuncanBrendan Allen def. Christian Leroy Duncan by Submission · Round 2:55 · R5Elo: Brendan Allen +12 to 1831 · Christian Leroy Duncan −16 to 1752
Matheus Camilo vs Jai HerbertJai Herbert def. Matheus Camilo by Decision (unanimous) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Matheus Camilo −15 to 1643 · Jai Herbert +15 to 1690
Lupita Godinez vs Ketlen SouzaLupita Godinez def. Ketlen Souza by Decision (Unanimous) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Lupita Godinez +14 to 1681 · Ketlen Souza −14 to 1614
Andre Fili vs Kai Kamaka IIIAndre Fili def. Kai Kamaka III by KO · Round 2 · 0:22Elo: Andre Fili +15 to 1650 · Kai Kamaka III −15 to 1644
Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari TanziloviOtari Tanzilovi def. Malcolm Wellmaker by KO · Round 2 · 2:39Elo: Malcolm Wellmaker −22 to 1658 · Otari Tanzilovi +22 to 1648
Julius Walker vs Gerald MeerschaertJulius Walker def. Gerald Meerschaert by TKO · Round 2 · 3:35Elo: Julius Walker +22 to 1622 · Gerald Meerschaert −16 to 1634
Francisco Prado vs Ismael BonfimFrancisco Prado def. Ismael Bonfim by TKO · Round 1 · 4:23Elo: Francisco Prado +20 to 1672 · Ismael Bonfim −20 to 1643
Niko Price vs Leon ShahbazyanNiko Price def. Leon Shahbazyan by TKO · Round 1 · 1:58Elo: Niko Price +13 to 1638 · Leon Shahbazyan −18 to 1580
Felipe Franco vs Brendson RibeiroBrendson Ribeiro def. Felipe Franco by Submission · Round 1 · 1:49Elo: Felipe Franco −25 to 1640 · Brendson Ribeiro +25 to 1578
Allen Frye vs RJ HarrisAllen Frye def. RJ Harris by KO · Round 1 · 2:59Elo: Allen Frye +28 to 1652 · RJ Harris −28 to 1585
Alice Pereira vs Darya ZheleznyakovaAlice Pereira def. Darya Zheleznyakova by TKO (retirement) · Round 1 · 5:00Elo: Alice Pereira +31 to 1647 · Darya Zheleznyakova −20 to 1617
Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa GattoDraw (majority) · (29–27, 28–28, 28–28)Elo: Ernesta Kareckaite −1 to 1582 · Melissa Gatto +1 to 1572

Recorded results remain available on this page.

Main card

Winner#4

Brendan AllenAll In28-7-0Middleweight VS Fight details →Loser#13

Christian Leroy DuncanCLD15-3-0

Loser

Matheus CamiloJaguar11-4-0Lightweight VS Fight details →Winner

Jai HerbertThe Black Country Banger15-6-1

Winner#6

Lupita GodinezLoopy15-6-0Women's Strawweight VS Fight details →Loser

Ketlen SouzaEsquentadinha17-7-0

Winner

Andre FiliTouchy26-14-0Featherweight VS Fight details →Loser

Kai Kamaka IIIThe Fighting Hawaiian18-9-1

Loser

Malcolm WellmakerThe Machine10-3-0Bantamweight VS Fight details →Winner

Otari Tanzilovi11-2-0

Prelims

Winner

Julius WalkerJuice Box8-3-0Light Heavyweight VS Fight details →Loser

Gerald MeerschaertGM337-23-0

Winner

Francisco Prado13-5-0Lightweight VS Fight details →Loser

Ismael BonfimMarreta20-8-0

Winner

Niko PriceThe Hybrid17-11-0Welterweight VS Fight details →Loser

Leon ShahbazyanS.O.G.12-6-0

Loser

Felipe FrancoNegao11-3-0Light Heavyweight VS Fight details →Winner

Brendson RibeiroThe Gorilla18-11-0

Winner

Allen FryeAJ7-1-0Heavyweight VS Fight details →Loser

RJ HarrisThe Hammer6-1-0

Winner

Alice PereiraGolden Girl8-1-0Women's Bantamweight VS Fight details →Loser

Darya ZheleznyakovaIron Lady10-4-0

Draw

Ernesta KareckaiteHeavy-Handed6-2-2Women's Flyweight VS Fight details →Draw

Melissa Gatto9-3-3

Event command center

Card at a glance

All 12 recorded outcomes are in

Complete

Frozen model coverage12/12 boutsEvery tracked bout has a pre-fight model snapshot.

Strongest model leanFelipe Franco · 75%Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro

Closest matchupMalcolm Wellmaker · 52%Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi

Model vs Elo6 disagreements6 of 12 comparable forecasts pick the same side as Elo alone.

Review results and Elo movement

Recorded results vs forecast

How the card compared with expectations

Model +1 vs Elo

Combat Edge model5-645% accuracy

Elo-only baseline4-736% accuracy

Biggest model surpriseBrendson Ribeiro wonThe frozen model gave the winner 26% against Felipe Franco.

On 5 split calls, the model led 3-2.

See all 11 graded bouts

Model missBrendan Allen vs Christian Leroy DuncanPicked Christian Leroy Duncan · 52%Winner: Brendan Allen · Elo hit Model missMatheus Camilo vs Jai HerbertPicked Matheus Camilo · 59%Winner: Jai Herbert · Elo hit Model hitLupita Godinez vs Ketlen SouzaPicked Lupita Godinez · 55%Winner: Lupita Godinez · Elo hit Model missAndre Fili vs Kai Kamaka IIIPicked Kai Kamaka III · 60%Winner: Andre Fili · Elo miss Model missMalcolm Wellmaker vs Otari TanziloviPicked Malcolm Wellmaker · 52%Winner: Otari Tanzilovi · Elo miss Model hitJulius Walker vs Gerald MeerschaertPicked Julius Walker · 73%Winner: Julius Walker · Elo miss Model hitFrancisco Prado vs Ismael BonfimPicked Francisco Prado · 53%Winner: Francisco Prado · Elo miss Model hitNiko Price vs Leon ShahbazyanPicked Niko Price · 56%Winner: Niko Price · Elo hit Model missFelipe Franco vs Brendson RibeiroPicked Felipe Franco · 75%Winner: Brendson Ribeiro · Elo miss Model missAllen Frye vs RJ HarrisPicked RJ Harris · 63%Winner: Allen Frye · Elo miss Model hitAlice Pereira vs Darya ZheleznyakovaPicked Alice Pereira · 58%Winner: Alice Pereira · Elo miss

Event status

Complete

Event progress

All 12 recorded outcomes are in. Final fight details and published Elo changes stay together here.

View predictions & model How Combat Edge Elo works

Published rating impact

Elo movement from this event

12 matched bouts

Alice Pereira vs Darya Zheleznyakova

Alice Pereira1616 → 1647+31

Darya Zheleznyakova1638 → 1617-20

Allen Frye vs RJ Harris

Allen Frye1624 → 1652+28

RJ Harris1613 → 1585-28

Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro

Felipe Franco1665 → 1640-25

Brendson Ribeiro1553 → 1578+25

Julius Walker vs Gerald Meerschaert

Julius Walker1600 → 1622+22

Gerald Meerschaert1650 → 1634-16

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi

Malcolm Wellmaker1680 → 1658-22

Otari Tanzilovi1626 → 1648+22

Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim

Francisco Prado1652 → 1672+20

Ismael Bonfim1662 → 1643-20

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan is a completed MMA event scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 at Meta APEX in Las Vegas, United States. The fight card includes 12 tracked fights, led by Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan, with bout links, fighter profiles, results, and Combat Edge stats. Main event result: Brendan Allen def. Christian Leroy Duncan by Submission.