Javad Mahjoub vs Louie Sutherland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-0-0Record11-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
-Reach76"
254 lbsWeight266 lbs
Alavanca CalgaryTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
Javad Mahjoub is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Louie Sutherland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1635
If they lose-26→ 1587
If they win+17→ 1601
If they lose-15→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1482 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Javad MahjoubLouie Sutherland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Louie Sutherland57%
Javad Mahjoub 43%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 57% favorite over Javad Mahjoub in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Javad Mahjoub's way (46%).
Javad Mahjoub holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1584, a 29-point edge.
Javad Mahjoub enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Javad Mahjoub finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Louie Sutherland 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.