Jessica Eye vs Katlyn Cerminara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-11-0Record18-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'9"
66"ReachTBD
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Renzo Gracie
What's at stake
Katlyn Cerminara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jessica Eye carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1608
If they lose-10→ 1576
If they win+8→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jessica EyeKatlyn Cerminara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Katlyn Cerminara78%
Jessica Eye 22%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Katlyn Cerminara a 78% favorite over Jessica Eye in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Katlyn Cerminara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1586, a 126-point edge.
Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jessica Eye finishes 27% of wins inside the distance, Katlyn Cerminara 17%.
Jessica Eye and Katlyn Cerminara share 5 common opponents: Maycee Barber, Jennifer Maia, Cynthia Calvillo and Viviane Araujo, among 5 in total.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (5)
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2019