Jessica Penne vs Tabatha Ricci
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record12-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'2"
67"Reach 61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Alliance MMATeamBrazilian Thai
What's at stake
Tabatha Ricci is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jessica Penne carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1569
If they lose-11→ 1537
If they win+11→ 1668
If they lose-21→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jessica PenneTabatha Ricci
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tabatha Ricci83%
Jessica Penne 17%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Tabatha Ricci a 83% favorite over Jessica Penne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Tabatha Ricci holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1548, a 109-point edge.
Jessica Penne enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jessica Penne finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Tabatha Ricci 42%.
Jessica Penne and Tabatha Ricci share 1 common opponent: Lupita Godinez.
Jessica Penne carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.