Jessica Penne vs Tabatha Ricci

Mar 5, 2023 · ESPN+

DateMar 5, 2023

DivisionWomen's Strawweight

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, March 5, 2023 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 1:00 PM
Your time

Jessica Penne14-8-0Jessica Penne vs Tabatha RicciTabatha RicciBaby Shark |12-5-0

Jessica Penne14-8-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

14-8-0Record12-5-0

43Age31

5'5"Height5'2"

67"Reach 61"

115 lbsWeight115 lbs

Women's StrawweightWeight ClassWomen's Strawweight

Tabatha RicciBaby Shark12-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Tabatha Ricci owns a 95-point Elo edge (solid). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Jessica Penne and Tabatha Ricci across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jessica PenneTabatha Ricci

Recent form

Jessica PenneL L L W W · -12 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Tabatha RicciL L W L W · -6 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Elo edge

Jessica Penne1548-17 last move

Tabatha Ricci1643-14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Jessica Penne#92 of 108 active Women Strawweight fighters · 1548 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Karolina Kowalkiewicz (rated 1637 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Joanna Jędrzejczyk (rated 1702 at the time): -23.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -12 Elo in total.
Next places: 7 points behind #91 Elise Reed, 4 ahead of #93 Ashley Yoder.

Tabatha Ricci#30 of 108 active Women Strawweight fighters · 1643 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jessica Penne (rated 1582 at the time): +26.
Costliest loss: Lost to Lupita Godinez (rated 1666 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -6 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #29 Elisandra Ferreira, 3 ahead of #31 Juliet Ukah.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Jessica PenneNow 1548 · #92 Women Strawweight

Wins by decision+20→ 1568

Loses by decision-12→ 1536

Tabatha RicciNow 1643 · #30 Women Strawweight

Wins by decision+12→ 1655

Loses by decision-20→ 1623

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Jessica PennevsTabatha Ricci

Takedown accuracy

19%vs8%

Takedown average

1.29vs2.51

Takedown defense

36%vs65%

Submission average

0.49vs0.10

Finishing profile

Jessica Pennesubmission leads 57% of wins

Tabatha Riccidecision leads 58% of wins

Common opponents

Lupita GodinezJessica Penne: win · Decision (Split) · Apr 17, 2021Tabatha Ricci: loss · Decision (Split) · Nov 11, 2023

Tale of the tape

Jessica PenneTabatha Ricci

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.63Sig. strikes landed per min4

UFC strawweight average : 4.15

33Sig. strike accuracy37

UFC strawweight average : 45%

5.05Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.83

UFC strawweight average : 4.11

45Sig. strike defense58

UFC strawweight average : 54%

1.29Takedown average2.51

UFC strawweight average : 1.37

19Takedown accuracy8

UFC strawweight average : 32%

36Takedown defense65

UFC strawweight average : 59%

0.49Submission average0.10

UFC strawweight average : 0.43

2Wins by knockout2

8Wins by submission3

4Wins by decision7

2Losses by knockout1

2Losses by submission0

4Losses by decision4

Jessica Penne vs Tabatha Ricci is a scheduled Women's Strawweight fight on UFC 285 : JONES VS GANE. Jessica Penne enters with a 14-8-0 record and Tabatha Ricci enters with a 12-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.