Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesus Aguilar vs Sumudaerji

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sumudaerji
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Sumudaerji

“Tibetan Eagle”

19-7-0FlyweightUFC

1675Good

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record19-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'8"
62"Reach72"
128 lbsWeight135 lbs
Victory Fight ClubTeamEnbo Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesus AguilarNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
SumudaerjiNow 1675
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-12→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.40
38%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.29
61%
Strike defense
63%
1.52
Takedown avg.
0.76
30%
Takedown accuracy
0%
45%
Takedown defense
73%
1.14
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Jesus AguilarSumudaerji
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
13 (68%)
7 (58%)
Submission
1 (5%)
4 (33%)
Decision
5 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jesus Aguilar and Sumudaerji within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1675), separated by just 10 points.

Sumudaerji enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jesus Aguilar finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sumudaerji 74%.

Sumudaerji carries a 10-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.