Jesus Aguilar vs Sumudaerji
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record20-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'8"
62"Reach72"
128 lbsWeight135 lbs
Victory Fight Club· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1684 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jesus AguilarSumudaerji
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sumudaerji65%
Jesus Aguilar 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sumudaerji a 65% favorite over Jesus Aguilar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1688), separated by just 3 points.
Sumudaerji enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jesus Aguilar finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sumudaerji 70%.
Sumudaerji carries a 10-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.