Jesus Gutierrez vs Tommy Morrisson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record12-0-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
-Reach67.1"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bonebreakers MMATeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Tommy Morrisson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jesus Gutierrez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1513
If they lose-7→ 1481
If they win+7→ 1703
If they lose-25→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jesus GutierrezTommy Morrisson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tommy Morrisson92%
Jesus Gutierrez 8%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Tommy Morrisson a 92% favorite over Jesus Gutierrez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Tommy Morrisson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1488, a 208-point edge.
Jesus Gutierrez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Tommy Morrisson enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jesus Gutierrez finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Morrisson 25%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.