Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesus Gutierrez vs Tommy Morrisson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record12-0-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
-Reach67.1"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bonebreakers MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Tommy Morrisson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jesus Gutierrez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jesus GutierrezNow 1488
If they win+25→ 1513
If they lose-7→ 1481
Tommy MorrissonNow 1697
If they win+7→ 1704
If they lose-25→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Jesus GutierrezTommy Morrisson
15001550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
6 (75%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (13%)
Decision
9 (75%)

Combat Edge model read

Tommy Morrisson87%
Jesus Gutierrez 13%Elo baseline: 77%

The Combat Edge model makes Tommy Morrisson a 87% favorite over Jesus Gutierrez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).

Tommy Morrisson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1488, a 209-point edge.

Jesus Gutierrez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Tommy Morrisson enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Jesus Gutierrez finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Morrisson 25%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.