Jhonata Diniz vs Tanner Boser
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record22-11-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
79"Reach75"
255 lbsWeight203 lbs
What's at stake
Jhonata Diniz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tanner Boser carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1687
If they lose-17→ 1655
If they win+13→ 1670
If they lose-11→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jhonata DinizTanner Boser
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jhonata Diniz51%
Tanner Boser 49%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Jhonata Diniz a 51% favorite over Tanner Boser in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Jhonata Diniz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1657, a 15-point edge.
Jhonata Diniz finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tanner Boser 64%.
Jhonata Diniz carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.