Jhonatan Cordeiro vs Keith Keogh
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record5-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Striker's House· 1596 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamC-MAC· 1591 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Keith Keogh is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Jhonatan Cordeiro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1596
If they lose-13→ 1564
If they win+20→ 1659
If they lose-28→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jhonatan CordeiroKeith Keogh
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keith Keogh59%
Jhonatan Cordeiro 41%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Keith Keogh a 59% favorite over Jhonatan Cordeiro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Keith Keogh holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1577, a 62-point edge.
Jhonatan Cordeiro enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Keith Keogh enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jhonatan Cordeiro finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Keith Keogh 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.