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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jim Miller vs Mochamed Machaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jim Miller
us

Jim Miller

“A-10”

39-19-0LightweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

39-19-0Record17-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
71"Reach-
155 lbsWeight148 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamGym 23· 1617 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jim MillerNow 1720
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
Mochamed MachaevNow 1717
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
1.49
Takedown avg.
Not available
36%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
48%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.72
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jim MillerMochamed Machaev
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (18%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
22 (56%)
Submission
2 (11%)
10 (26%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Jim Miller62%
Mochamed Machaev 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 62% favorite over Mochamed Machaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1717), separated by just 3 points.

Mochamed Machaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jim Miller finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Mochamed Machaev 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.