Combat Edge Intelligence

Jim Miller vs Roosevelt Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jim Miller
us

Jim Miller

“A-10”

39-19-0LightweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

39-19-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
71"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight158 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamAdrenaline Martial Arts

What's at stake

Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Roosevelt Roberts carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jim MillerNow 1720
If they win+9→ 1729
If they lose-15→ 1705
Roosevelt RobertsNow 1640
If they win+20→ 1660
If they lose-12→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
2.84
42%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.10
57%
Strike defense
53%
1.50
Takedown avg.
1.18
45%
Takedown accuracy
27%
49%
Takedown defense
50%
1.70
Submission avg.
0.74

Trajectory

Jim MillerRoosevelt Roberts
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (18%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
22 (56%)
Submission
5 (42%)
10 (26%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jim Miller67%
Roosevelt Roberts 33%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 67% favorite over Roosevelt Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1640, a 80-point edge.

Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jim Miller finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Roosevelt Roberts 75%.

Roosevelt Roberts carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.