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Combat Edge Intelligence

JJ Aldrich vs Lauren Murphy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record16-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

JJ AldrichNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Lauren MurphyNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.92
Sig. strikes / min
4.05
46%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.25
62%
Strike defense
55%
0.70
Takedown avg.
1.03
2%
Takedown accuracy
25%
68%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

JJ AldrichLauren Murphy
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
12 (80%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting JJ Aldrich and Lauren Murphy within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1652), separated by just 1 points.

Lauren Murphy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

JJ Aldrich finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Lauren Murphy 56%.

JJ Aldrich and Lauren Murphy share 1 common opponent: Andrea Lee.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
Andrea Lee
WinDecision (split) · 2020