Joanna Jędrzejczyk vs Rose Namajunas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record14-8-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
65"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeam303 Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joanna JędrzejczykRose Namajunas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rose Namajunas70%
Joanna Jędrzejczyk 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Rose Namajunas a 70% favorite over Joanna Jędrzejczyk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1686 vs 1695), separated by just 9 points.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk finishes 31% of wins inside the distance, Rose Namajunas 50%.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk and Rose Namajunas share 2 common opponents: Weili Zhang and Jéssica Andrade.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.