Joanna Jędrzejczyk vs Weili Zhang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record26-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'4"
65"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFight Ready
What's at stake
Weili Zhang is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Joanna Jędrzejczyk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1707
If they lose-11→ 1675
If they win+8→ 1806
If they lose-16→ 1782
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joanna JędrzejczykWeili Zhang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Weili Zhang76%
Joanna Jędrzejczyk 24%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Weili Zhang a 76% favorite over Joanna Jędrzejczyk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Weili Zhang holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1798 to 1686, a 112-point edge.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk finishes 31% of wins inside the distance, Weili Zhang 73%.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk and Weili Zhang share 3 common opponents: Valentina Shevchenko, Rose Namajunas and Jéssica Andrade.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.