Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Lauzon vs Vinc Pichel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Joe Lauzon
us

Joe Lauzon

“J-Lau”

28-15-0LightweightUFC

1649Solid
Vinc Pichel
us

Vinc Pichel

“From Hell”

14-5-0LightweightUFC

1650Good

Tale of the tape

28-15-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe LauzonNow 1649
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1637
Vinc PichelNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.62
40%
Strike accuracy
47%
5.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
55%
Strike defense
56%
2.39
Takedown avg.
2.78
45%
Takedown accuracy
54%
55%
Takedown defense
25%
2.04
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Joe LauzonVinc Pichel
1650170020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (32%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
17 (61%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (7%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Lauzon52%
Vinc Pichel 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Lauzon a 52% favorite over Vinc Pichel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vinc Pichel's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.

Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joe Lauzon finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Vinc Pichel 57%.

Joe Lauzon and Vinc Pichel share 1 common opponent: Jim Miller.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2016
Jim Miller
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020