Combat Edge Intelligence

John Makdessi vs Nasrat Haqparast

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record18-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Nasrat Haqparast is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — John Makdessi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John MakdessiNow 1646
If they win+20→ 1666
If they lose-12→ 1634
Nasrat HaqparastNow 1728
If they win+9→ 1737
If they lose-15→ 1713

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.52
Sig. strikes / min
6.40
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.01
68%
Strike defense
63%
0
Takedown avg.
0.35
0%
Takedown accuracy
20%
86%
Takedown defense
85%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John MakdessiNasrat Haqparast
1650170017502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (50%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Nasrat Haqparast84%
John Makdessi 16%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Nasrat Haqparast a 84% favorite over John Makdessi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Nasrat Haqparast holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1646, a 82-point edge.

John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Makdessi finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.

John Makdessi and Nasrat Haqparast share 1 common opponent: Jamie Mullarkey.

Nasrat Haqparast carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Jamie Mullarkey
WinKO/TKO · 2023