Combat Edge Intelligence

John Makdessi vs Nasrat Haqparast

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Nasrat Haqparast is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — John Makdessi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John MakdessiNow 1646
If they win+19→ 1665
If they lose-13→ 1633
Nasrat HaqparastNow 1713
If they win+10→ 1723
If they lose-14→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.52
Sig. strikes / min
6.36
50%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6
68%
Strike defense
63%
0
Takedown avg.
0.34
0%
Takedown accuracy
5%
86%
Takedown defense
86%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John MakdessiNasrat Haqparast
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (50%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Nasrat Haqparast84%
John Makdessi 16%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Nasrat Haqparast a 84% favorite over John Makdessi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Nasrat Haqparast holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1646, a 67-point edge.

John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nasrat Haqparast enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Makdessi finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.

John Makdessi and Nasrat Haqparast share 1 common opponent: Jamie Mullarkey.

Nasrat Haqparast carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Jamie Mullarkey
WinKO/TKO · 2023