John Moraga vs Joseph Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record14-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66,0"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John MoragaJoseph Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Morales51%
John Moraga 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Morales a 51% favorite over John Moraga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1702), separated by just 2 points.
John Moraga finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Morales 71%.
John Moraga and Joseph Morales share 1 common opponent: Deiveson Figueiredo.
Joseph Morales carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.