Combat Edge Intelligence

Johnny Sampaio vs Áureo Cruz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Áureo Cruz
ao

Áureo Cruz

“Xerife”

3-1-0LightweightPFL

1549Average

Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record3-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach63"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TBDTeamNew Generation MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Johnny SampaioNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
Áureo CruzNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.32
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
9.89
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
9.89
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Johnny SampaioÁureo Cruz
1550200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
2 (67%)
Submission
1 (33%)
1 (33%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Áureo Cruz62%
Johnny Sampaio 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Áureo Cruz a 62% favorite over Johnny Sampaio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1549), separated by just 3 points.

Johnny Sampaio finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Áureo Cruz 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.