Johnny Sampaio vs Áureo Cruz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record3-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach63"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Johnny SampaioÁureo Cruz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Áureo Cruz66%
Johnny Sampaio 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Áureo Cruz a 66% favorite over Johnny Sampaio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Johnny Sampaio's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1546), separated by just 0 points.
Johnny Sampaio finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Áureo Cruz 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.