Johnny Walker vs Mingyang Zhang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record19-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
82"Reach75"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamQingdao Xinjiang International Fight Club
What's at stake
Mingyang Zhang is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Johnny Walker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1654
If they lose-11→ 1630
If they win+11→ 1667
If they lose-13→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Johnny WalkerMingyang Zhang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Johnny Walker and Mingyang Zhang within a point of even.
Mingyang Zhang holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1641, a 15-point edge.
Mingyang Zhang enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Johnny Walker finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Mingyang Zhang 100%.
Johnny Walker and Mingyang Zhang share 1 common opponent: Anthony Smith.
Johnny Walker carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.