Combat Edge Intelligence

Johnny Walker vs Misha Cirkunov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-10-0Record15-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
82"Reach77"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Misha Cirkunov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Johnny Walker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Johnny WalkerNow 1641
If they win+13→ 1654
If they lose-11→ 1630
Misha CirkunovNow 1670
If they win+15→ 1685
If they lose-17→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.90
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
55%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
46%
Strike defense
58%
0.36
Takedown avg.
4.15
0%
Takedown accuracy
40%
57%
Takedown defense
77%
0.73
Submission avg.
1.71

Trajectory

Johnny WalkerMisha Cirkunov
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (77%)
KO/TKO
5 (33%)
3 (14%)
Submission
8 (53%)
2 (9%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Johnny Walker66%
Misha Cirkunov 34%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Walker a 66% favorite over Misha Cirkunov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Misha Cirkunov's way (46%).

Misha Cirkunov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1641, a 29-point edge.

Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Johnny Walker finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Misha Cirkunov 87%.

Johnny Walker and Misha Cirkunov share 2 common opponents: Volkan Oezdemir and Ryan Spann.

Johnny Walker carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinKO · 2020
Ryan Spann
LossTKO · 2021
LossKO/TKO · 2024
Volkan Oezdemir
LossKO/TKO · 2017