Johnny Walker vs Ryan Spann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record24-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'5"
82"Reach79"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Ryan Spann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Johnny Walker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1670
If they lose-11→ 1646
If they win+11→ 1707
If they lose-13→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Johnny WalkerRyan Spann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johnny Walker57%
Ryan Spann 43%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Walker a 57% favorite over Ryan Spann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Spann's way (44%).
Ryan Spann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1657, a 39-point edge.
Johnny Walker finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Spann 88%.
Johnny Walker and Ryan Spann share 3 common opponents: Dominick Reyes, Anthony Smith and Ion Cutelaba.
Johnny Walker carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.