Johnny Walker vs Ryan Spann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record24-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'5"
82"Reach79"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Ryan Spann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Johnny Walker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1655
If they lose-10→ 1631
If they win+10→ 1720
If they lose-14→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Johnny WalkerRyan Spann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Spann66%
Johnny Walker 34%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Spann a 66% favorite over Johnny Walker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Ryan Spann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1641, a 69-point edge.
Ryan Spann enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Johnny Walker finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Spann 88%.
Johnny Walker and Ryan Spann share 3 common opponents: Dominick Reyes, Anthony Smith and Ion Cutelaba.
Johnny Walker carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.