Joji Goto vs Liam Macfadyen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record6-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68"Reach-
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tribe Tokyo MMATeam613 Fight Factory
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1641
If they lose-12→ 1617
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joji GotoLiam Macfadyen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Liam Macfadyen61%
Joji Goto 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Liam Macfadyen a 61% favorite over Joji Goto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joji Goto's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1629), separated by just 0 points.
Liam Macfadyen enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Joji Goto finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Liam Macfadyen 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.