Combat Edge Intelligence

Jon Kunneman vs Marco Tulio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marco Tulio
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Marco Tulio

“Matuto”

14-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1672Good

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record14-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
77.2"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jon KunnemanNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Marco TulioNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1491 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.69
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.58
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.42
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Jon KunnemanMarco Tulio
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
7 (70%)
Submission
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Jon Kunneman60%
Marco Tulio 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jon Kunneman a 60% favorite over Marco Tulio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1672), separated by just 3 points.

Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jon Kunneman finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio 79%.

Jon Kunneman carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.