Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Jonathan Micallef is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Oban Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Micallef a 61% favorite over Oban Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Jonathan Micallef holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1650, a 46-point edge.
Jonathan Micallef enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Oban Elliott enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jonathan Micallef finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Oban Elliott 50%.
Jonathan Micallef carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.