Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-1-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
77"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Jonathan Micallef is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Oban Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1716
If they lose-19→ 1684
If they win+19→ 1653
If they lose-13→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan MicallefOban Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Micallef67%
Oban Elliott 33%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Micallef a 67% favorite over Oban Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Jonathan Micallef holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1634, a 69-point edge.
Jonathan Micallef enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Oban Elliott enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jonathan Micallef finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Oban Elliott 50%.
Jonathan Micallef carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.