Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott

Sep 27, 2025 · ESPN+

DateSep 27, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueRAC Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 27, 2025 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 10:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 7:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 3:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 4:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 12:00 PM
Your time

Jonathan MicallefThe Captain |10-1-0Jonathan Micallef vs Oban ElliottOban ElliottThe Welsh Gangster |12-5-0

Jonathan MicallefThe Captain10-1-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

10-1-0Record12-5-0

27Age28

6'0"Height5'11"

77"Reach72"

170 lbsWeight170 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Oban ElliottThe Welsh Gangster12-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Jonathan Micallef owns a 69-point Elo edge (good). Jonathan Micallef shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Jonathan Micallef and Oban Elliott across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jonathan MicallefOban Elliott

Recent form

Jonathan MicallefW W W W W · +115 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Oban ElliottL L L W W · -25 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Elo edge

Jonathan Micallef1703+11 last move

Oban Elliott1634-17 last move

Why they are ranked here

Jonathan Micallef#69 of 331 active Welterweight fighters · 1703 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Oban Elliott (rated 1671 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Aldin Bates (rated 1510 at the time): -38.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +115 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #68 Dilano Taylor, 1 ahead of #70 Alexey Polpudnikov.

Oban Elliott#156 of 331 active Welterweight fighters · 1634 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Sean McCormac (rated 1500 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jonathan Micallef (rated 1663 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -25 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #155 Muslim Ibragimov, 1 ahead of #157 Subaru Mori.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Jonathan MicallefNow 1703 · #69 Welterweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1716

Loses by decision-19→ 1684

Oban ElliottNow 1634 · #156 Welterweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1653

Loses by decision-13→ 1621

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Jonathan MicallefvsOban Elliott

Submission average

1.13vs0

Takedown accuracy

67%vs15%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

4.22vs2.24

Takedown defense

75%vs52%

Finishing profile

Jonathan Micallefsubmission leads 40% of wins

Oban Elliottdecision leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Jonathan MicallefOban Elliott

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.96Sig. strikes landed per min3.62

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

41Sig. strike accuracy48

UFC welterweight average : 46%

4.22Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.24

UFC welterweight average : 3.86

56Sig. strike defense61

UFC welterweight average : 53%

1.13Takedown average1.52

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

67Takedown accuracy15

UFC welterweight average : 30%

75Takedown defense52

UFC welterweight average : 59%

1.13Submission average0

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

2Wins by knockout3

4Wins by submission3

4Wins by decision6

1Losses by knockout3

0Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision1

Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ULBERG VS REYES. Jonathan Micallef enters with a 10-1-0 record and Oban Elliott enters with a 12-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.