Jonathan Micallef vs Themba Gorimbo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-1-0Record14-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
77"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Combat 1 MMATeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Jonathan Micallef is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Themba Gorimbo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1708
If they lose-20→ 1676
If they win+20→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan MicallefThemba Gorimbo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Micallef79%
Themba Gorimbo 21%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Micallef a 79% favorite over Themba Gorimbo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Jonathan Micallef holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1608, a 88-point edge.
Jonathan Micallef enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Themba Gorimbo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jonathan Micallef finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Themba Gorimbo 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.