Jordan Zébo vs Kelvin Gastelum
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record20-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"Reach71"
173 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamFight Ready
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-12→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jordan ZéboKelvin Gastelum
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kelvin Gastelum65%
Jordan Zébo 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kelvin Gastelum a 65% favorite over Jordan Zébo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jordan Zébo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1693), separated by just 0 points.
Jordan Zébo enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Jordan Zébo finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Kelvin Gastelum 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.