Combat Edge Intelligence

José Montanha vs Louie Sutherland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record11-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
-Reach76"
265 lbsWeight266 lbs
Gile Riberio TeamTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

Louie Sutherland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — José Montanha carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

José MontanhaNow 1582
If they win+26→ 1608
If they lose-22→ 1560
Louie SutherlandNow 1605
If they win+15→ 1620
If they lose-17→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
TBD
Strike accuracy
69%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
TBD
Strike defense
30%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.95
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

José MontanhaLouie Sutherland
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
3 (60%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Louie Sutherland53%
José Montanha 47%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 53% favorite over José Montanha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Louie Sutherland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1605 to 1582, a 23-point edge.

José Montanha enters on a 3-fight win streak.

José Montanha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Louie Sutherland 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.