Josh Emmett vs Youssef Zalal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record18-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
70"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 22 ratedTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Youssef Zalal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Josh Emmett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1725
If they lose-11→ 1701
If they win+11→ 1747
If they lose-13→ 1723
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1754 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh EmmettYoussef Zalal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Youssef Zalal66%
Josh Emmett 34%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Youssef Zalal a 66% favorite over Josh Emmett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Youssef Zalal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1712, a 24-point edge.
Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Emmett finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Youssef Zalal 78%.
Josh Emmett and Youssef Zalal share 1 common opponent: Calvin Kattar.
Youssef Zalal carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.