Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
65"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1608 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1640 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Joshua Van is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tatsuro Taira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1832
If they lose-17→ 1800
If they win+17→ 1809
If they lose-15→ 1777
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joshua VanTatsuro Taira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tatsuro Taira56%
Joshua Van 44%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Tatsuro Taira a 56% favorite over Joshua Van in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joshua Van's way (46%).
Joshua Van holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1817 to 1792, a 25-point edge.
Joshua Van enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Joshua Van finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuro Taira 78%.
Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira share 2 common opponents: Brandon Royval and Edgar Cháirez.
Tatsuro Taira carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.