Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-2-0Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
65"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1657 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1682 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1816
If they lose-16→ 1784
If they win+16→ 1807
If they lose-16→ 1775
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joshua VanTatsuro Taira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1800 vs 1791), separated by just 9 points.
Joshua Van enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Joshua Van finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuro Taira 78%.
Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira share 2 common opponents: Brandon Royval and Edgar Cháirez.
Tatsuro Taira carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.