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UFC 327 : PROCHAZKA VS ULBERG

Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira

Apr 11, 2026 · PARAMOUNT +
DateApr 11, 2026
DivisionFight card
StatusScheduled
VenueKaseya Center
BroadcastPARAMOUNT +
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Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, April 11, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT +.

US East (ET)
Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom
Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe
Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 11:00 AM
Joshua VanThe Fearless |18-2-0Joshua Van vs Tatsuro TairaTatsuro Taira18-2-0
mmJoshua VanThe Fearless18-2-0Joshua Van
Elo1817Great
3Y trend1688 → 1817
2023-11-12: 16882024-01-14: 17012024-07-13: 16802024-09-14: 16932024-12-07: 17092025-03-08: 17262025-06-07: 17422025-06-28: 17572025-12-06: 17802026-05-09: 18012026-09-19: 1817
mm

Fight Overview

Round5
Time5:00
18-2-0Record18-2-0
24Age26
5'5"Height5'7"
65"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight cardWeight ClassFight card
jpTatsuro Taira18-2-0jpTatsuro Taira
Elo1792Great
3Y trend1766 → 1792
2023-07-09: 17662023-12-10: 17792024-06-15: 17952024-10-12: 17782025-08-02: 17952025-12-06: 18132026-05-09: 1792
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Joshua Van owns a 25-point Elo edge (great). Tatsuro Taira shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Joshua VanTatsuro Taira
170017501800202420252026

Recent form

Joshua VanW W W W W · +90 Elo last 5
WWWWW
Tatsuro TairaL W W L W · +13 Elo last 5
LWWLW

Elo edge

Joshua Van1817+16 last move
Tatsuro Taira1792-21 last move

Why they are ranked here

Joshua Van#1 of 195 active Flyweight fighters · 1817 Elo
Biggest gain
Beat Alexandre Pantoja (rated 1826 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss
Lost to Charles Johnson (rated 1672 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights
5 wins, 0 losses, +90 Elo in total.
Next places
12 ahead of #2 Muhammad Mokaev.
Tatsuro Taira#5 of 195 active Flyweight fighters · 1792 Elo
Biggest gain
Beat Brandon Moreno (rated 1776 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss
Lost to Joshua Van (rated 1780 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights
3 wins, 2 losses, +13 Elo in total.
Next places
4 points behind #4 Alexandre Pantoja, 7 ahead of #6 Asu Almabayev.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Joshua VanNow 1817 · #1 Flyweight
Wins by decision+15→ 1832
Loses by decision-17→ 1800
Tatsuro TairaNow 1792 · #5 Flyweight
Wins by decision+17→ 1809
Loses by decision-15→ 1777
What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

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Stat advantages

Joshua VanvsTatsuro Taira
Takedown accuracy
0%vs47%
Submission average
0.26vs1.56
Takedown average
0.70vs3.12
Sig. strikes landed per min
8.26vs2.94

Finishing profile

Joshua VanKO/TKO leads 50% of wins
Tatsuro Tairasubmission leads 44% of wins

Tale of the tape

Joshua VanTatsuro Taira

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

8.26Sig. strikes landed per min2.94
UFC flyweight average : 3.95
58Sig. strike accuracy60
UFC flyweight average : 44%
5.83Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.44
UFC flyweight average : 3.88
57Sig. strike defense47
UFC flyweight average : 55%
0.70Takedown average3.12
UFC flyweight average : 1.44
0Takedown accuracy47
UFC flyweight average : 26%
75Takedown defense45
UFC flyweight average : 57%
0.26Submission average1.56
UFC flyweight average : 0.61
9Wins by knockout6
2Wins by submission8
7Wins by decision4
1Losses by knockout1
1Losses by submission0
0Losses by decision1

Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC 327 : PROCHAZKA VS ULBERG. Joshua Van enters with a 18-2-0 record and Tatsuro Taira enters with a 18-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira quick answers

When is Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira?

Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira is listed for UFC 327 : PROCHAZKA VS ULBERG on Apr 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM EST.

What event is Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira on?

Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira is listed on UFC 327 : PROCHAZKA VS ULBERG.

What are the records for Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira?

Joshua Van enters with a 18-2-0 record and Tatsuro Taira enters with a 18-2-0 record.

What division is Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira?

Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira is listed as a Fight card fight.

Full fight card
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