Combat Edge Intelligence

Josiane Nunes vs Rainn Guerrero

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record6-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'6"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Striker's HouseTeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josiane NunesNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Rainn GuerreroNow 1588
If they win+24→ 1612
If they lose-24→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.41
Sig. strikes / min
0.65
43%
Strike accuracy
33%
5.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.87
52%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
3.27
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
58%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josiane NunesRainn Guerrero
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (17%)
3 (30%)
Decision
4 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Rainn Guerrero51%
Josiane Nunes 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rainn Guerrero a 51% favorite over Josiane Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1588), separated by just 3 points.

Josiane Nunes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josiane Nunes finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Rainn Guerrero 33%.

Josiane Nunes and Rainn Guerrero share 1 common opponent: Dione Barbosa.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO (Punches) · 2019
Dione Barbosa
LossSubmission (Armbar) · 2023