Combat Edge Intelligence

José Montanha vs Louie Sutherland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record11-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
76"Reach76"
265 lbsWeight266 lbs
Gile Riberio TeamTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

José Montanha is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Louie Sutherland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

José MontanhaNow 1612
If they win+22→ 1634
If they lose-26→ 1586
Louie SutherlandNow 1584
If they win+17→ 1601
If they lose-15→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
Not available
Strike accuracy
69%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
Not available
Strike defense
30%
Not available
Takedown avg.
4.95
Not available
Takedown accuracy
43%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

José MontanhaLouie Sutherland
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
4 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting José Montanha and Louie Sutherland within a point of even.

José Montanha holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1612 to 1584, a 28-point edge.

José Montanha enters on a 4-fight win streak.

José Montanha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Louie Sutherland 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.