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Combat Edge Intelligence

Journey Newson vs Willie van Rooyen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach-
139 lbsWeight133 lbs
Impact Jiu JitsuTeamA-Team Stars

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Journey NewsonNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
Willie van RooyenNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.64
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
33%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
65%
Strike defense
Not available
0.56
Takedown avg.
Not available
17%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
44%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.28
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Journey NewsonWillie van Rooyen
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
3 (30%)
Submission
1 (13%)
4 (40%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Journey Newson55%
Willie van Rooyen 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Journey Newson a 55% favorite over Willie van Rooyen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.

Journey Newson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Journey Newson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Willie van Rooyen 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.