Julia Polastri vs Talita Alencar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record8-1-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'1"
63"Reach58"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Julia PolastriTalita Alencar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julia Polastri60%
Talita Alencar 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Julia Polastri a 60% favorite over Talita Alencar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Talita Alencar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1668), separated by just 1 points.
Talita Alencar enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Julia Polastri finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Talita Alencar 50%.
Julia Polastri carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.