Julian Erosa vs Sean Woodson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-13-0Record13-2-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"Reach78"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamWolves' Den Training Center
What's at stake
Sean Woodson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Julian Erosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1708
If they lose-11→ 1684
If they win+15→ 1736
If they lose-17→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Julian ErosaSean Woodson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Woodson62%
Julian Erosa 38%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Woodson a 62% favorite over Julian Erosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Sean Woodson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1695, a 26-point edge.
Julian Erosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Julian Erosa finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Sean Woodson 38%.
Julian Erosa and Sean Woodson share 3 common opponents: Fernando Padilla, Alex Caceres and Charles Jourdain.
Sean Woodson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.