Kaan Ofli vs Mairon Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-1Record17-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
66"Reach 72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
XFC Narre WarrenTeamParana Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Mairon Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Kaan Ofli carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1697
If they lose-12→ 1665
If they win+12→ 1768
If they lose-20→ 1736
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kaan OfliMairon Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mairon Santos71%
Kaan Ofli 29%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Mairon Santos a 71% favorite over Kaan Ofli in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Mairon Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1756 to 1677, a 79-point edge.
Kaan Ofli enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Mairon Santos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Kaan Ofli finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Mairon Santos 53%.
Kaan Ofli and Mairon Santos share 1 common opponent: Muhammad Naimov.
Mairon Santos carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.