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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kacper Cholewa vs Kristians Boguzs

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record4-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Sportowe PulawyTeamHard Work MMA

What's at stake

Kristians Boguzs is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Kacper Cholewa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kacper CholewaNow 1561
If they win+27→ 1588
If they lose-21→ 1540
Kristians BoguzsNow 1598
If they win+21→ 1619
If they lose-27→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kacper CholewaKristians Boguzs
15001550160020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kacper Cholewa and Kristians Boguzs within a point of even.

Kristians Boguzs holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1598 to 1561, a 37-point edge.

Kacper Cholewa enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kristians Boguzs enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Kacper Cholewa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kristians Boguzs 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.