Kacper Paczóski vs Szymon Bajor
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Szymon Bajor69%
Kacper Paczóski 31%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Szymon Bajor a 69% favorite over Kacper Paczóski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Szymon Bajor holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1575, a 46-point edge.
Kacper Paczóski finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Szymon Bajor 74%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record27-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'1"
-Reach-
265 lbsWeight241 lbs
Uniq Fight Club· 1580 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamUniversal Rzeszow
What's at stake
Szymon Bajor is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Kacper Paczóski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1602
If they lose-21→ 1554
If they win+10→ 1631
If they lose-14→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kacper PaczóskiSzymon Bajor