Szymon Bajor vs Kacper Paczóski

DateOct 10, 2026

DivisionHeavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePodpromie Hall

BroadcastKSW TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 10, 2026 — watch on KSW TV.

US East (ET): Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Szymon Bajor26-13-0Szymon Bajor vs Kacper PaczóskiKacper PaczóskiPapa |4-0-0

Szymon Bajor26-13-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

26-13-0Record4-0-0

38AgeTBD

6'1"Height6'7"

TBDReachTBD

241 lbsWeight265 lbs

HeavyweightWeight ClassHeavyweight

Kacper PaczóskiPapa4-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Szymon Bajor owns a 11-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Szymon Bajor and Kacper Paczóski across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Szymon BajorKacper Paczóski

Recent form

Szymon BajorL W L L W · -17 Elo last 5

LWLLW

Kacper PaczóskiW W W W · +97 Elo last 4

WWWW

Elo edge

Szymon Bajor1609-14 last move

Kacper Paczóski1598+20 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

50%Szymon Bajor50%Kacper Paczóski

Model favoriteSzymon Bajor

Elo baseline52% for Szymon Bajor

Matchup adjustment-2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Szymon BajorStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Szymon Bajor leads the full model at 50%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 1 point.

Current Elo ratings1609 · 1598Szymon Bajor leads by 11 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1631 · 1487Szymon Bajor faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 4 sampled fights).

Elo record depth31 · 4 fightsSzymon Bajor has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Szymon BajorvsKacper Paczóski

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Szymon BajorKO/TKO leads 42% of wins

Kacper PaczóskiKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Szymon BajorKacper Paczóski

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 3.77

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 49%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 3.92

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 51%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 1.40

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 30%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 53%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 0.44

11Wins by knockout4

9Wins by submission0

6Wins by decision0

4Losses by knockout0

3Losses by submission0

6Losses by decision0

Szymon Bajor vs Kacper Paczóski is a scheduled Heavyweight fight on KSW 122 RZESZOW : YAKYMENKO VS MORELLI. Szymon Bajor enters with a 26-13-0 record and Kacper Paczóski enters with a 4-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.