Combat Edge Intelligence

Kaik Brito vs Michael Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record10-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach78"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kaik BritoNow 1718
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-12→ 1706
Michael OliveiraNow 1720
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.80
Sig. strikes / min
8.40
38%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
55%
Strike defense
66%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
56%
Takedown defense
100%
2
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kaik BritoMichael Oliveira
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (85%)
KO/TKO
9 (90%)
3 (15%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Oliveira51%
Kaik Brito 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Oliveira a 51% favorite over Kaik Brito in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1718 vs 1720), separated by just 2 points.

Kaik Brito enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Michael Oliveira enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Kaik Brito finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Michael Oliveira 90%.

Kaik Brito and Michael Oliveira share 1 common opponent: Oban Elliott.

Michael Oliveira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Majority) · 2023
Oban Elliott
WinTKO · 2026