Karl Willis vs Rémi Bourgois
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-5-0Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeightTBD
Freelance· 1552 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamTBD
What's at stake
Rémi Bourgois is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Karl Willis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1420
If they lose-20→ 1372
If they win+20→ 1468
If they lose-28→ 1420
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Karl WillisRémi Bourgois
Combat Edge model read
Rémi Bourgois54%
Karl Willis 46%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Rémi Bourgois a 54% favorite over Karl Willis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Rémi Bourgois holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1448 to 1392, a 56-point edge.
Karl Willis enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Rémi Bourgois enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.