Karl Willis vs Tremaine Jackson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-5-0Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
Freelance· 1622 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Tremaine Jackson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Karl Willis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1420
If they lose-20→ 1372
If they win+20→ 1470
If they lose-28→ 1422
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Karl WillisTremaine Jackson
Combat Edge model read
Tremaine Jackson72%
Karl Willis 28%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Tremaine Jackson a 72% favorite over Karl Willis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Tremaine Jackson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1450 to 1392, a 58-point edge.
Karl Willis enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Tremaine Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.