Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Saori Oshima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record17-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height4'11"
64"Reach57"
116 lbsWeight107 lbs
American Top TeamTeamReversal Gym Shinjuku Me, We· 1636 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Karolina KowalkiewiczSaori Oshima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karolina Kowalkiewicz64%
Saori Oshima 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Karolina Kowalkiewicz a 64% favorite over Saori Oshima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1630), separated by just 1 points.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Saori Oshima enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Saori Oshima 71%.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.