Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Stephanie Luciano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record8-2-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'6"
64"Reach65"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGordin Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Karolina KowalkiewiczStephanie Luciano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stephanie Luciano71%
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 29%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Stephanie Luciano a 71% favorite over Karolina Kowalkiewicz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1635), separated by just 4 points.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Stephanie Luciano enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Stephanie Luciano 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.