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Combat Edge Intelligence

Katlyn Cerminara vs Mackenzie Stiller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record6-1-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'9"Height5'2"
68"Reach62"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team Renzo GracieTeamOne Touch Fight Team

What's at stake

Katlyn Cerminara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Mackenzie Stiller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Katlyn CerminaraNow 1704
If they win+9→ 1713
If they lose-15→ 1689
Mackenzie StillerNow 1611
If they win+30→ 1641
If they lose-18→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.58
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
35%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.48
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
62%
Strike defense
Not available
0.31
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.31
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Katlyn CerminaraMackenzie Stiller
1550160016501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (6%)
Submission
5 (83%)
15 (83%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Katlyn Cerminara73%
Mackenzie Stiller 27%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Katlyn Cerminara a 73% favorite over Mackenzie Stiller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Katlyn Cerminara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1611, a 93-point edge.

Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mackenzie Stiller enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Katlyn Cerminara finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Mackenzie Stiller 83%.

Katlyn Cerminara carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.